Evaluation of fire and explosion accident risk from bulk cargoes

Abstract

Dry bulk cargoes are generally transported for industrial production purposes without being placed in any packed. Many of these cargoes have different risks due to their nature. Therefore, developing measures to minimise or eliminate the heavy losses that may occur due to these risks is essential. This article analyses the risk of fire and explosion accidents caused by cargoes within the scope of International Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes (IMSBC) code group B. In this context, 31 accident reports were examined, and the nonconformities were classified qualitatively through the Human Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS) method. Accident occurrence probabilities and consequences were calculated quantitatively using the fuzzy bow tie method. As a result of the study, it has been determined that the nature of the cargo and the factors caused by procedural violations play an essential role in accidents.